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Sunday, September 25th 2005

6:01 PM

AMERICA: GOING BELLY-UP WITH BUSH

If America were a train and George Bush its engineer, one helluva wreck is just around the bend. And if America were a corporation and George Bush its CEO, it would make Enron look honest.

Writing in The Toronto Star, columnist David Olive decries a U.S. administration run by nothing but a bunch of failed, unethical businessmen

Bush: he's no Warren Buffett

The legacy of the Bush administration may well be that government can no longer be entrusted to business people.

That would be a shame, given that business savants as varied as Kennedy treasury secretary Douglas Dillon and Silicon Valley legend Dave Packard served ably in Washington.

Many of the most prominent CEOs in the current administration aren't real business people at all, but faux CEOs who after a lifetime in politics cashed in on brief stints as trophy CEOs at Fortune 500 firms before returning to public life in George W. Bush's White House.

With few exceptions, those CEO stints — at Halliburton Co. (Dick Cheney), rail operator CSX Corp. (John Snow), and George "dry hole" Bush's string of oil-exploration flops in Texas — were not models of exemplary corporate stewardship.

Just the same, future historians will make the connection between the most CEO-heavy administration in memory, headed by the first MBA president (Harvard, no less), and a White House of unsurpassed fiscal recklessness, flawed strategic thinking, failure to execute even on its best ideas (its unrealized goals of education reform and energy self-sufficiency, for instance), and a stubborn unwillingness to change course when conditions dictate.

With his successive rounds of tax cuts skewed to the wealthiest Americans, in tandem with a 37 per cent increase in federal expenditures and Bush's refusal to veto a single spending bill from the GOP-controlled Congress, this White House has in a short five years boosted the national debt by 12 per cent, to almost $8 trillion. America is increasingly a hostage of its foreign creditors.

In a recent study titled "The Grand Old Spending Party," the Cato Institute, a conservative Washington think tank, says that "Throughout the past 40 years, most presidents have cut or restrained lower-priority spending to make room for higher-priority spending. What is driving George W. Bush's budget bloat is a reversal of that trend."

Bush has conducted three wars — on the Taliban, Saddam's regime, and terrorism — without asking a dime of sacrifice from Americans. Indeed, Bush persists in seeking to make his earlier tax cuts permanent and to eliminate the estate tax.

Even with federal spending at a post-World War II high of $22,000 (all figures U.S. dollars) per household, Bush and the GOP congressional leadership are deaf to bipartisan calls to postpone by a year the new prescription drug benefit for seniors — a $139-billion handout to Big Pharma that actually does little to help the elderly.

Or to downsize last summer's pork-laden, $286.5 billion highway bill, the costliest in history, with its $8.5 million for seven transport museums, $4 million for a parking garage in Oak Lawn, Ill., and $220 million for a road extension in Alaska that GOP Sen. John McCain decries as "a highway to nowhere."

The supposed managerial expertise of an administration headed by two former oilmen would suggest a high level of preparedness to protect a region that is the biggest U.S. gateway for oil imports, is home to America's largest concentration of petroleum refineries, and is America's biggest transit point for lumber, coffee, rubber and steel.

But preparedness was woefully inadequate for New Orleans and the Gulf Coast. The Bush administration cut funding for the Army Corps of Engineers's proposed refurbishment of hundreds of kilometres of levees in the region. Bush folded the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) into the new agglomeration of 22 agencies known as the Department of Homeland Security. The administration slashed FEMA's budget, and installed in the demoralized agency's top posts refugees from Bush political campaigns who lacked expertise in disaster-management, triggering an exodus of FEMA's most talented staff.

In the aftermath of Katrina, Bush and Congress hastily began to channel what may ultimately amount to $200 billion — the equivalent of Denmark's GNP, or $400,000 for each of Katrina's half-million displaced people — through FEMA, which lacks the prowess to handle anything like $200 billion.

Its 2003 budget of $87 million accounted for a miniscule 0.03 per cent of total government spending.

"You can easily compare FEMA's internal resources to what you saw in the early days of the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq: a small, underfunded organization taking on a Herculian task under tremendous time pressure," Steven Schooner, a contracting expert at George Washington University, told The Wall Street Journal last week. "That is almost by definition a recipe for disaster."

Again, common sense argues for re-establishing FEMA as an independent agency; or better yet, creating an agency autonomous of the administration and headed by a can-do leader like Rudy Giuliani, Gen. Tommy Franks or Colin Powell to expedite reconstruction and ensure the efficacious spending of the restoration outlays.

But for now, at least, the White House refuses to relinquish control of the biggest domestic reconstruction projectinU.S. history, which will require the removal of enough debris across a six-state region to fill more than 600 footballfields to a depth of 15 metres. Instead, as in Iraq, the administration has swung into action on behalf of Bush campaign donors, swiftly granting no-bid, cost-plus contracts in the Gulf Coast region to the usual suspects — Halliburton, Bechtel Corp., and Fluor Corp.

Halliburton and Bechtel are under federal investigation for alleged government over-billing on Iraqi reconstruction contracts.

Kenyon Worldwide Disaster Management, hired by FEMA to collect human remains in the Katrina-stricken region, is a subsidiary of funeral operator and longtime Bush contributor Service Corp. International (SCI). In Texas and Florida, SCI has settled class-action lawsuits alleging improper burial methods. (In one case, bodies were dug up and tossed in the woods so plots could be resold.)

Katrina subcontractor Goldstar EMS, a star-crossed ambulance provider, is being pursued for local tax arrears, is under federal investigation for suspected Medicaid fraud and is now operating in bankruptcy.

Another firm whose luck has changed for the better since Katrina is Bode Technology Group Inc., hired by FEMA to identify the bodies of storm victims. Bode was fired last month by Illinois state police over allegations of shoddy work.

Meanwhile, in contacting local contractors in the Midwest last week, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch learned that even the most persistent were failing to obtain Katrina-related work.

Typical was independent contractor Kevin Williams, who has an excavating firm in Sedalia, Mo. and whose petitions to FEMA have been less than fruitful. "I've tried calling, e-mailing, NOTHING," he told the paper.

Katrina, of course, is a disaster that has disproportionately afflicted the poor. One of Bush's earliest responses was to sign an executive order suspending contractors on Katrina-related work from federal law requiring employees be paid the local prevailing wage, which means many will be toiling for a minimum wage of $5.15 an hour.

Edward Sullivan, head of the AFL-CIO Building and Construction Trades Department, described Bush's regard for the working poor as "legalized looting of these workers who will be cleaning up toxic sites and struggling to rebuild their communities, while favoured contractors rake in huge profits."

Bush, more obsessed with tax cuts than any president in modern times, has also declared a tax-free Gulf Opportunity Zone. A tax holiday might help the few surviving restaurateurs in the French Quarter, but not 400,000 New Orleans residents who have lost their jobs and have no income from which to deduct tax.

Asked about this odd policy move at a luncheon for GOP supporters last week, Bush responded: "Somebody said the other day, well, that's a tax break. That region is going to have zero income anyway. There's nothing there, in many parts of it. It makes sense to prove economic incentives for jobs to exist." Read that passage six times and it still doesn't make sense.

With his job-approval rating in decline even before Katrina, it didn't take long for Bush to begin reminding Americans that he is a war president and deserves their patriotic support.

Last week he linked Katrina with the war on terrorism. Terrorists, the president said, are "the kind of people who look at Katrina and wish they had caused it. We're in a war with these people." It appears that the president and the rules of logic have parted ways.

If only the U.S. were run more like a business, was the Bush/Cheney mantra in 2000; then America would be a more contented kingdom.

But a sustainably prosperous business doesn't hand vital tasks to cronies, fail to vet its suppliers, starve essential employees of job fulfillment, or blame its shortcomings on bogeymen.

It's a pity the GOP running mates didn't say what kind of business they had in mind — the managerial prowess of a General Electric Co., or the train-wreck of Enron Corp.

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Friday, September 23rd 2005

11:48 AM

HANS ISLAND'S "REAL" VALUE

Remember Hans Island - that tiny, brass monkey cold, chunk of Arctic rock that both Denmark and Canada claim is rightfully theirs, and have agreed to disagree about?

According to a leading Canadian academic, who's also a geologist, actual ownership of the frozen flyspeck really doesn't matter. Hans Island's true value, he says, is that it has raised public awareness about the importance of the Arctic and the immense responsibility polar nations share in protecting its future.

Here's what Robert Gilbert, writing in The Toronto Star, had to say about the value of his recent Arctic field  trip.

Raising awareness of our role in Arctic

By ROBERT GILBERT

Recently, I was privileged to travel in north-eastern Greenland with the Sirius Patrol. This small group of elite troops from the Danish army roams over a vast region by dog team, boat and aircraft, maintaining sovereignty in an otherwise unoccupied, desolate land.

As I collected geological specimens in support of my research and commented that I was returning Greenland to Canada piece by piece, we exchanged pleasant banter about the Hans Island dispute and how it should be resolved.

The spirit of our discussion reflected the formal negotiations between Canada and Denmark over the ownership of Hans Island.

In this dispute, the island itself and the sea around it are unimportant.

It is a tiny speck in the vastness of the Canadian Arctic and of Greenland. There are no potential economic resources on the island. It has no real strategic importance to either nation, nor has it value in their future commercial endeavours.

What is important about Hans Island is that the controversy has awakened Canadians to their Arctic in a manner unlike any since the sovereignty crisis created by the voyages of the supertanker, Manhattan, through the Northwest Passage in 1969 and 1970.

For most Canadians, the Arctic is a huge, cold, sparsely populated region that has limited relevance to us as individuals or even to the nation as a whole.

Yet, for example, the recent developments in diamond mining in the Arctic make Canada one of the major producers of diamonds in the world.

The industry brings significant revenue not just to the North but to all Canadians. The potential for sustainable exploitation of living resources from the polar sea holds similar promise.

The Arctic environment is being changed sooner and more greatly due to human-induced global effects than any other region on Earth except the fringes of Antarctica, even though the causes of these changes originate in the temperate regions of the Northern Hemisphere.

Rising temperatures, shrinking glaciers and sea ice, changing ecology and threatened wildlife, and the impact of these on Arctic inhabitants must receive concerted and thoughtful attention by scientists, managers, politicians, and Northerners.

Greater resources should be committed to understanding our North and to mitigating the effects of these changes.

Consciousness of Hans Island helps justify this need in the minds of Canadians.

Along with the South Polar Region, the Arctic is the last unspoiled wilderness in the world.

This, too, conveys a special relation between Canadian people and their land, and a unique responsibility for its stewardship.

The Hans Island issue has also made us aware that there are important circumpolar environmental and human issues that may be profitably addressed by collaboration among northern nations.

Northerners have always been aware of this, based in part on the common ancestry of the Inuit in North America and Greenland.

What matters is not the ownership of a tiny island, or even that we agree to disagree about that ownership, but that the people of Canada, Denmark and the other polar nations recognize that they share responsibility for the most remarkable region on Earth.

Robert Gilbert is professor of geography at Queen's University and is Visiting Canadian Chair in Arctic Science, University of Copenhagen.

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Sunday, September 18th 2005

3:11 PM

Mulroney Talks, Bush Balks

Today's deserving targets are George "Dubya" Bush and Brian "Bullshit's-My-Middle-Name" Mulroney - both of whom topped this week's Political Assholes List.

First, let's deal with poor old Brian. Dubya comes later, compliments of The New York Times.

Mulroney's gift for "the blarney" is legendary - simply an inherited Irish trait locked deep within his DNA. However, insiders say that in truth, the former PM is simply a habitual liar. In fact, fellow Conservative and former Ontario Premier David Peterson says he never trusted a word Mulroney said.

So I figure Mulroney and his ex old pal-turned-backstabber, author Peter C. Newman, really deserve oneanother.

Mulroney, the self-aggrandizing egomaniac, and Newman, the consummate, opportunistic brown-noser, certainly make a lovely couple. Even in divorce.

The current credibility gap-flap over Newman's new book of tape-recorded revelations about the pithy, profane, self-possessed Mulroney is simply another example of the old political adage, "Trust no one, especially friends."

And it certainly demonstrates how misplaced trust can come back to bite you in the ass, big time.

Now, this is probably another piece of total Brian bullshit, but for what it's worth, writer Linda McQuaig relates the following oft-told-by-Mulroney gem in this opinion-piece excerpt from Sunday's Toronto Star.

As a young boy growing up in Baie Comeau, Quebec, Mulroney was selected to sing for Colonel Robert McCormick, the legendary U.S. press baron who'd created Baie Comeau as part of his pulp and paper empire.

The 7-year-old Mulroney, son of an electrician, was wide-eyed with delight as he got up on top of the piano in the grand company house where McCormick stayed during his Baie Comeau visits.

At the colonel's prompting, our future prime minister sang "Dearie" and a few other ditties ("When Irish Eyes are Smiling," perhaps?).

Apparently taken with this pleasing performance, the colonel handed the boy the immense sum of $50 U.S.

After that, Brian was summoned to sing whenever the colonel came to town.

Mulroney relishes the story. One of his former law partners, Frank Common, told me he'd heard Mulroney recount it "about a thousand times."

It was apparently a pivotal lesson. Mulroney realized he could rise above the dreary little world of a pulp-and-paper town and taste the big, exciting world of money and power that lay beyond.

All he had to do was please the colonel, sing him a little song.

Pleasing the powerful turned out to be something Mulroney excelled at.

He was certainly good at pleasing the business elite, which contributed more than $52 million to his party's coffers in appreciation for his tax and trade policies.

Ordinary Canadians seem to dislike Mulroney however — not because they're offended by his coarse language, but because they sense that, deep down, he never stopped singing for the colonel.

Linda McQuaig is a Toronto-based author and commentator

 

And now, here's a couple of stellar excerpts from opinion pieces in Sunday's New York Times about Dubya's shortcomings, post-Katrina.

By Frank Rich

Once Toto parts the curtain, the Wizard of Oz can never be the wizard again. He is forever Professor Marvel, blowhard and snake-oil salesman. Hurricane Katrina, which is likely to endure in the American psyche as long as L. Frank Baum's mythic tornado, has similarly unmasked George W. Bush.

The worst storm in our history proved perfect for exposing this president because in one big blast it illuminated all his failings: the rampant cronyism, the empty sloganeering of "compassionate conservatism," the lack of concern for the "underprivileged" his mother condescended to at the Astrodome, the reckless lack of planning for all government operations except tax cuts, the use of spin and photo-ops to camouflage failure and to substitute for action.

In the chaos unleashed by Katrina, these plot strands coalesced into a single tragic epic played out in real time on television. The narrative is just too powerful to be undone now by the administration's desperate recycling of its greatest hits: a return Sunshine Boys tour by the surrogate empathizers Clinton and Bush 1, another round of prayers at the Washington National Cathedral, another ludicrously overhyped prime-time address flecked with speechwriters' "poetry" and framed by a picturesque backdrop. Reruns never eclipse a riveting new show.

Thus, as The Salt Lake Tribune discovered a week after Katrina, some 1,000 firefighters from Utah and elsewhere were sent not to the Gulf Coast but to Atlanta, to be trained as "community relations officers for FEMA" rather than used as emergency workers to rescue the dying in New Orleans. When 50 of them were finally dispatched to Louisiana, the paper reported, their first assignment was "to stand beside President Bush" as he toured devastated areas

When there's money on the line, cronies always come first in this White House, no matter how great the human suffering. After Katrina, the FEMA Web site directing charitable contributions prominently listed Operation Blessing, a Pat Robertson kitty that, according to I.R.S. documents obtained by ABC News, has given more than half of its yearly cash donations to Mr. Robertson's Christian Broadcasting Network.

If FEMA is that cavalier about charitable donations, imagine what it's doing with the $62 billion (so far) of taxpayers' money sent its way for Katrina relief.

Actually, you don't have to imagine: we already know some of it was immediately siphoned into no-bid contracts with a major Republican donor, the Fluor Corporation, as well as with a client of the consultant Joe Allbaugh, the Bush 2000 campaign manager who ran FEMA for this White House until Brownie (Bush crony Michael Brown), Mr. Allbaugh's college roommate, was installed in his place.

****

By Maureen Dowd

President George Bush continued to try to spin his own inaction last week, but he may finally have reached a patch of reality beyond spin.

Now he's the one drowning, unable to rescue himself by patting small black children on the head during photo ops and making scripted attempts to appear engaged.

He can keep going back down there, as he did again on Thursday when he gave a televised speech to the nation, but he can never compensate for his tragic inattention during days when so many lives could have been saved.

He made the ultimate sacrifice and admitted his administration had messed up, something he'd refused to do through all of the other screw-ups, from phantom WMD and the torture at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo to the miscalculations on the Iraq occupation and the insurgency, which will soon claim 2,000 young Americans.

How many places will be in shambles by the time the Bush crew leaves office?

Given that the Bush team has dealt with both gulf crises, Iraq and Katrina, with the same deadly mixture of arrogance and incompetence, and a refusal to face reality, it's frightening to think how it will handle the most demanding act of government domestic investment since the New Deal.

Even though we know W. likes to be in his bubble with his feather pillow, the stories this week are breathtaking about the lengths the White House staff had to go to in order to capture Incurious George's attention.

Newsweek reported that the reality of Katrina did not sink in for the president until days after the levees broke, turning New Orleans into a watery grave. It took a virtual intervention of his top aides to make W. watch the news about the worst natural disaster in a century. Dan Bartlett made a DVD of newscasts on the hurricane to show the president on Friday morning as he flew down to the Gulf Coast.

The aides were scared to tell the isolated president that he should cut short his vacation by a couple of days, Newsweek said, because he can be "cold and snappish in private." Mike Allen wrote in Time about one "youngish aide" who was so terrified about telling Bush he was wrong about something during the first term, he "had dry heaves" afterward.

W. has said he prefers to get his information straight up from aides, rather than filtered through newspapers or newscasts. But he surrounds himself with weak sisters who don't have the nerve to break bad news to him, or ideologues with agendas that require warping reality or chuckleheaded cronies like "Brownie".

The president should stop haunting New Orleans, looking for that bullhorn moment. It's too late.

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Friday, September 16th 2005

2:58 PM

SHARE ALBERTA'S WEALTH? LIKE HELL

So, the Ugly Truth finally emerges: a whopping 26% of Albertans want to share their province's oil wealth with the rest of gas-guzzling Canada.

Them's definitely fightin' words. 

I figure it's time to circle the wagons, folks. Time too, to resurrect those 80s Alberta bumper stickers, "Let the Eastern bastards freeze in the dark."

But not before the 74% majority of right-minded Albertans tar, feather and deport those Eastern transplants back to where they came from. Because it's obvious they're not real, dyed-in-the-denim, native Albertans, so they've got to be dorky city-slickers who migrated from Ontari-ari-o, eh?

Christ, and I'll lay odds they're bloody card-carrying Liberals to boot!

If I had a looney for every time I've climbed atop this rickety old soapbox to hollar "The carpetbaggers are comin', the carpetbaggers are comin'," I'd be rich enough to buy a full partnership in King Ralphie's fancy-schmancy, west coast fishing lodge.

Alas, folks, today's front page news in The Globe and Mail now proves that those Eastern carpetbaggers are already here. Not only that, but 61% of their Centre-of-the-Universe relatives also figure Alberta's oil and gas riches should be divvied up with the rest of the country - meaning, of course, Canada's Porshe capital, On-goddamn-tario.

According to The Globe, the survey's findings are a warning to any federal party that it would face a national-unity powder keg should it wade into the issue, particularly during the coming election campaign.

The poll, conducted for The Globe and Mail and CTV by The Strategic Counsel, found that 26 per cent of Albertans believe that their province's oil bonus should be shared to help those harmed by rising energy costs, compared with 61 per cent of the rest of Canada.

"If anyone wants to seriously engage in this issue, we're going to have a big conflict," said Allan Gregg, the company's chairman. "A very big conflict."

Allan Gregg

Gregg said trying to somehow siphon off Alberta oil revenue would rekindle memories of the national energy program, which is blamed to this day for the Liberals' difficulties in winning seats in the province.

"Albertans' memories are very, very long," he said.

Gregg also has a strong message for Prime Minister Paul Martin, who is mulling a plan to help insulate Canadians against high home heating costs this winter:

Given the results of the survey, says Gregg , such a program must be financed by general federal government revenues and not as part of a raid on Alberta's treasury.

Now far be it from me to try to divert attention away from soaring gas prices, or Karla, or our imminent war with Denmark over that frozen flyspeck, Hans Island, or the ongoing saga of Liberal Party corruption, however...answer me this:

How come Ontario and Quebec aren't sharing their electricity, mining and forest products wealth with the rest of the country?

From 1905 to the mid-70s Alberta sure as hell could have benefited from that kind of good-old, unselfish, Central Canadian philanthropy.

And throughout all the past and recent lean years, so could thousands of western farm and ranch families, who lost everything because Eastern banks pulled the plug on them.

Arguably, Alberta's energy wealth stems from an accident of geography and geology. Nonetheless, by law it belongs to Alberta, just as all that gold, silver, copper, nickle, aluminum, uranium, water and forest wealth belongs to Ontario and Quebec.

It might be wise for Canadians to think hard on the following facts, provided by Dr. Roger Gibbins, president and CEO of the Canada West Foundation:

While Ontario and Quebec have been powerful and prosperous since well before Confederation, Alberta didn't become a "have" province until the mid-1970s.

Although oil and natural gas had been discovered before the Second World War in Turner Valley, and although Leduc No. 1 gushed forth in 1947, Alberta's oil was relatively expensive to produce. Indeed, oil from the Middle East could be shipped all the way to Edmonton for less than it cost to produce it in Leduc, just 30 kilometres down the highway.

This all changed in the mid 1970s when the OPEC cartel drove up the international price of oil. Suddenly, Canadian reserves became competitive, and most of the readily available reserves were in Alberta.

The new "blue-eyed sheiks" from Alberta, with a chip on their shoulder and a willingness to throw around their economic weight, were now in the game. Alberta was no longer a rural hinterland, but rather a heavily urbanized and industrialized province with the most highly educated labour force in the country. Canadians, moreover, were moving west by the thousands.

However, prior to all that, writes Murdoch Davis, editor of Canada's history magazine, The Beaver, Alberta could barely dream of the kind of publicly funded facilities — what is today "infrastructure," from extensive paved highways to concert halls and more — that the East took for granted.

In this light, it's easier to understand Alberta's hostility over Pierre Trudeau's National Energy Program in 1980.

Only three decades into being able to exploit its own resources as the East had done for 150 years, and along comes Ottawa, wresting it away again.

The result was a loss to Alberta of $50 billion, conservatively (some say double), thousands of jobs — and a deeper grudge.

But today one reads and hears Ontario-based opinion leaders saying that Alberta's wealth is an accident of geography or geology, so somehow undeserved.

They seem never to consider that for more than a century Ontario built its prosperity on comparable good fortune: cheap hydroelectricity, proximity to populous markets in the United States, the Great Lakes, the St. Lawrence River, bountiful forests, extensive mineral resources and more.

Alberta is proud of its rural and frontier heritage, but tires of perceptions back East that the lucky hayseeds found oil while shooting gophers.

Meanwhile, King Ralphie has dismissed the poll results, reminding Canadians instead that the situation is no different now than it was in the last boom back in 1980.

"The rest of Canada was saying the same thing then: 'Give me, give me, give me.' Then the price of oil went down and the rest of Canada was wringing their hands in glee saying, 'You deserved it.' "

He emphasized that no one came to Alberta's aid once the oil boom collapsed as a result of the infamous national energy program, and many Alberta companies and workers were left bankrupt.

"They asked us to share in the good times, but they didn't offer to share during the very, very bad times."

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Sunday, September 11th 2005

6:01 AM

CABINET PLOTTED TO OVERTHROW CHRETIEN

For many Americans, 9/11 has become their nation's defining moment. For Canadians, our moment occurred October 30, 1995, when a razor-thin majority of Quebeckers - just 50.6 per cent - voted against separation.

Had a majority voted in favor of sovereignty, a cadre of senior Liberal cabinet ministers were plotting to overthrow then Prime Minister Jean Chretien. And all Quebec-based Canadian F-18 fighters would have been scrambled - and secretly flown to safe refuge in the U.S.

The stunning admission will be made public in a CBC-Radio Canada documentary to be aired this week - a little more than a month before Canada marks the 10th anniversary of the Quebec Referendum. The referendum spawned the sponsorship scandal and the shocking revelations that Chretien's Liberals used secret funds to prop up their Quebec wing and hire Liberal-friendly advertising firms to promote national unity in Quebec.

The documentary, Breaking Point: Canada's Referendum reveals that eight days before the Oct. 30, 1995 vote in Quebec, when polls indicated that the Yes side - those who favored sovereignty - was ahead by seven percentage points, about 10 ministers met in an upscale restaurant in Hull, across the river from Ottawa, to examine their options in the event of a separatist victory.

Among those key senior cabinet ministers were Brian Tobin, John Manley and Allan Rock, all of whom were interviewed for the documentary.

Whether Paul Martin was part of the group isn't clear. Neither is the identity of the person who would have replaced Chretien.

What follows is from a Globe and Mail report by Rheal Seguin on the upcoming documentary.

Brian Tobin

Former Fisheries Minister Brian Tobin told CBC the time had come to examine a previously unthinkable scenario: the breakup of Canada.

"We asked ourselves difficult questions such as: Could a prime minister from Quebec (Chretien) represent Canada in negotiations?" Tobin said. Or could a Canadian government team made up of Quebeckers negotiate separation with Quebec? "The answer is that they couldn't. The structure of government would have to change dramatically."

Many ministers from outside Quebec thought that it would be hard for a prime minister from Quebec to hold onto the leadership.

John Manley

"If there would have been talks to negotiate the separation of Quebec, the Canadian population would have never accepted that on one side you would have representatives from the province of Quebec and on the other side a Quebecker as the representative of Canada," states Manley.

The former ministers indicated that the mood in the rest of Canada would have been so bitter that Ottawa would have had to adopt a tough negotiating strategy with Quebec.

Their comments also confirmed what former Parti Québécois premier Jacques Parizeau had said - that in the event of majority Yes vote for sovereignty, the rest of Canada would refuse to negotiate a new economic and political partnership and outright independence would result from a referendum victory.

Mr. Parizeau's ally in the campaign, former Bloc Québécois leader Lucien Bouchard, thought differently. He believed that a referendum victory would pave the way for a new political arrangement. This was a major point of contention between the two separatist leaders.

Allan Rock

The documentary underscores the panic that overtook the federal government only a week before the vote. As senior civil servants in Ottawa began preparing for defeat, then-Justice-Minister Allan Rock examined the legal implications of a separatist victory. Was the referendum question appropriate? What margin of victory would be considered acceptable? What would have to be done if the Yes side won?

"These were questions to which we had no answers on Oct. 30, 1995," said Rock.

Even former Defence Minister David Collenette devised a security plan that included pulling Canada's F-18 fighter jets out of Bagotville, Quebec to an air base in the United States to prevent them from being used as pawns in any negotiating process.

The history-making revelations contained in the CBC documentary formed the centrepiece of the following weekend column in The Toronto Star by its controversial Quebecois journalist Chantal Hebert.

Ottawa should heed echoes of '95

A decade after the fact, the main federalist protagonists of the last Quebec referendum still cling to the belief that its close outcome was the result of a freak political storm.

That sense is front and centre in a Radio-Canada/CBC documentary broadcast this week in the lead-up to the 10th anniversary of the 1995 campaign. To listen to former prime minister Jean Chrétien, the federalist campaign was derailed by Lucien Bouchard's unique connection to Quebecers, a phenomenon that unfolded outside the reach of conventional strategy.

Throughout the documentary, other federalist strategists expound on the same theme. To hear them, the 1995 close call was the result of a political tsunami, an extreme event that is statistically unlikely to happen again anytime soon.

But what if they are wrong ?

The notion of an unforeseeable act of God is a convenient rationalization for a retired prime minister who came perilously close to losing Canada in the 1995 referendum process.

But it may be a dangerous over-simplification for a country that may yet be tested again by the same forces sometime soon.

While the documentary goes out of its way to connect the dots between Bouchard's epic battle with flesh-eating disease and the positive turnaround of sovereignist fortunes in the referendum, that storyline ends up competing for attention with another compelling and ultimately more ominous tale.

What the documentary exhibits is a federal government so blinkered from Quebec reality as to be blind to the dangers that are staring it in the face.

Does that still sound familiar today?

In one of its most surrealist sequences, Chrétien's nephew Raymond Chrétien — then the Canadian ambassador to the U.S. — recounts how he spent a dinner warning his uncle that Capitol Hill was abuzz with questions about Canada's imminent demise.

A little more than a week before the vote, he worried about the absence of a plan for the day after a Yes victory.

Meanwhile, back in Ottawa, federal ministers from the rest of Canada were contemplating a future without Chrétien at the helm or their Quebec colleagues at their side.

Brian Tobin speaks of gathering a number of ministers from outside Quebec in a Hull restaurant to hash out the issue of who was to speak for Canada after a Yes victory.

John Manley bluntly states that it would not have been acceptable for a prime minister from Quebec to represent the interests of the rest of Canada in such a context.

And Allan Rock, then attorney-general, speaks candidly of scrambling to explore the fundamental legal issues deriving out of a Yes vote — questions the Chrétien government had blithely overlooked because it was so confident that it had a referendum victory in the bag.

Ten years later, and notwithstanding the Clarity Act, there is precious little evidence that the current federal government is any more alert to the fast-changing Quebec climate or more prepared for a storm.

Yet support for sovereignty is as high today as in late October 1995, a fact that flies in the face of the thesis that Quebec was temporarily overtaken by a spell of Bouchard-mania 10 years ago.

The referendum fatigue that had so far prevented a rematch has largely faded, in no small part because of the sponsorship scandal

The Parti Québécois is in the process of choosing a new leader. All its leading candidates are committed to holding another referendum.

The federalist government of Quebec is trailing enough in the polls to suggest that the PQ's return to power could be only a provincial election away.

It is true that none of the PQ candidates is shaping up to be as charismatic as Bouchard. One can only wonder whether that is comfort enough for Prime Minister Paul Martin.

-Sources: Globe and Mail, CBC, Toronto Star.

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Saturday, September 10th 2005

10:49 AM

POST-9/11AMERICA: Opportunities Lost, Friendships Squandered

"The world," according to Canada's former UN ambassador, Paul Heinbecker, "pays an enormous price for the inexperience of American presidents."

And as a member of the global community, post-9/11 America under George W. Bush has paid enormously, too - in opportunities lost and friendships squandered.

Today, on the eve of another 9/11 anniversary, Toronto Star political reporter Jim Travers explains why.

Last superpower finds itself more alone


OTTAWA—It's a second tragedy that in the four years since the attacks on New York and Washington it has become more difficult to befriend Uncle Sam. Unequivocal, stand-by-you support that opened Canadian homes and toppled Afghanistan's Taliban is in ruins today, torn apart by an unnecessary war and a foolish notion.

What those 48 months prove is that no nation, no matter how powerful, can impose its will on world affairs for long; no president, no matter how cocksure or anchored in dogma, can stand steady astride the globe.

If you think that's just leftist guff or more viral anti-Americanism, think again. It's part of the growing, notably mainstream, consensus that 9/11 presented the Bush administration with an opportunity it still can't grasp.

Richard Haas, a leading foreign policy analyst and insider in successive U.S. administrations, argues in his book The Opportunity: America's Moment to Alter History's Course, that his country is overestimating its own strength and stamina.

"The U.S. does not need the world's permission to act," he writes, "but it does need the world's support to succeed."

That's painfully evident in Iraq where the U.S. is bogged in the predicted quagmire and may ultimately leave behind three fragile states, including a southern, Shiite theocracy dominated by fundamentalist Iran. But what's more worrying to Canadian observers, including former foreign affairs minister Lloyd Axworthy and Paul Heinbecker, Ottawa's top man at the United Nations until November 2003, is the underlying pattern.

Since the planes sliced into the World Trade Center, Washington has increasingly turned away from integrated international responses in favour of makeshift coalitions it can control. Results are mixed.

Afghanistan and tsunami relief warrant check marks; Iraq and a summer deal with India that increases the risk of nuclear proliferation do not. Whatever the score, Axworthy is correct when he criticizes the method as the ultimate in à la carte internationalism and Heinbecker, who now leads Laurier's Centre for Global Relations, Governance and Policy, is right to worry about a shift from lasting alliances built on shared values to ones glued together by passing interests.

Two factors make those coalitions of convenience more threatening. One is the Bush doctrine of pre-emptive strikes and regime change; the other is that this president, like so many predecessors, came to the White House with the limited international perspective of a U.S. governor.

"The world," Heinbecker muses, "pays an enormous price for the inexperience of American presidents."

That price is particularly high in Canadian dollars. In declaring all-out war on terrorism, George W. Bush, with the quiet acquiescence of Paul Martin's government, also assaulted civil, legal and privacy rights with implications that continue to unfold before the Arar inquiry. And America's international muscle flexing creates foreign policy challenges for a northern neighbour who wants to be seen as reliable in Washington and distinctly independent at home.

Jean Chrétien managed that well by making the border a priority while sending troops to Afghanistan but not to Iraq. Martin's task is to do everything possible to secure the continent, encourage the U.S. to remain constructively engaged abroad and resist pressure to join in unwise foreign adventures.

It's tricky stuff that will test everything from this government's ability to deliver a complex message to managing the trend towards what the military calls the interoperability of Canadian and U.S. forces. Requiring the wisdom to support the U.S. when it's right and the courage to say no when it's wrong, Canada's efforts will be more readily executed if this president, or the next, is persuaded by the post-9/11 experience and the sound advice Haas offers.

Four years less a day after the world rushed to America's side, the last standing superpower finds itself more alone, surprisingly vulnerable and facing defining choices. It can continue, without multinational support, the problematic, ad-hoc strategy of shaping the world to its own likeness and liking. Alternatively, it can either turn inward, as Heinbecker fears, or, as Haas hopes, abandon singular, often destructive, dominance for constructive, inclusive leadership.

Powerful forces push and pull the U.S. in opposite directions and it's not yet clear which way it will bend. But as this anniversary rolls past, the U.S. and its allies have something sobering to consider.

In the aftermath of a horror, a naïve president less cautious than his father and held hostage by advisers with their own agendas let slip an opportunity.

The solidarity found in New York and Afghanistan was squandered in Iraq and today the country finds itself with fewer and more equivocal friends.

The first of those tragedies remains the most shocking, the second is somehow sadder.

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Saturday, September 3rd 2005

10:53 AM

NEW ORLEANS: A Made-in-Washington Tragedy

Katrina's floodwaters are starting to ebb in the city they call The Big Easy - the city that coined the phrase, "Laissez les bon temps rouler: Let the good times roll." But the flood of tears over the ultimate fate of its people will continue for a long, long time to come.

The world's richest, most powerful nation is reeling from its worst natural disaster in history, yet its leadership failed miserably when the people needed them most.

Reduced to homeless, starving, frightened refugees, Greater New Orleans' 1.4 million citizens are asking hard questions and demanding honest answers from those in charge - particularly the man at the top - President George W. Bush.

Sadly, hollow excuses in place of decisive action just don't cut it when - with each terrifying passing hour - you feel your country has abandoned you.

Today, two Canadian reporters covering the tragedy offer their perspectives on Katrina's devastation to the City of New Orleans - a city founded by two French Canadians - and to the people who called it home.

New Orleans: A Made in Washington Tragedy

By Jennifer Wells

They don't have a clue what's going on down here. They flew down here one time two days after the doggone event was over with TV cameras, AP reporters, all kind of goddamn, excuse my French, everybody in America, but I am pissed.— New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin

On Thursday night New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin gave an interview to a local radio station, WWL-AM, and its correspondent, Garland Robinette. It makes for tough listening, particularly the ending, when Robinette falls to tears, and finds himself struggling with his sign-off.

Robinette had asked the question everyone would want to ask: What had the mayor said to U.S. President George W. Bush, who had not, at least not then, made an appearance on the ground in the besieged city? "I told him we had an incredible crisis here and that his flying over in Air Force One does not do it justice," the mayor told Robinette.

Nagin was referring to the president's ceremonial airborne viewing of the Gulf Coast and the devastation delivered by Hurricane Katrina. After the flypast, the president had held a Rose Garden press briefing in which he quantified shelters (78,000), and tarps (10,400) and ice (3.4 million pounds) and promised that, with time, "New Orleans will be back on its feet." The scene seemed a mere pit stop amid a five-week "working vacation" at the ranch, the one down the road from where the mother mourned the death of her soldier son.

How do you reckon that, when your citizens are dead, and stuck in attics, and on rooftops and there is no optimism anywhere to be spotted in the landscape? "You pull off the doggone ventilator vent and you look down there and they're standing in there in water up to their freaking necks," said Nagin. And then the lootings and the shootings and the rapes. "You have drug addicts that are now walking around this city looking for a fix, and that's the reason why they were breaking in hospitals and drugstores. They're looking for something to take the edge off their jones, if you will. And right now, they don't have anything to take the edge off. And they've probably found guns."

How do you reckon that you've not being given the help you need? "We authorized $8 billion to go to Iraq lickety-quick ... Now, you mean to tell me that a place where most of your oil is coming through, a place that is so unique when you mention New Orleans anywhere around the world, everybody's eyes light up — you mean to tell me that a place where you probably have thousands of people that have died and thousands more that are dying every day, that we can't figure out a way to authorize the resources that we need?"

Nagin figured that Bush, and Louisiana Governor Kathleen Blanco, had better "get their ass on a plane." By the end of the interview, neither man could speak.

Yesterday, Bush quick-stepped across the emerald green veldt of the White House lawn — suit, white shirt, blue tie — on his way to make a personal connection with the people of Mobile and Biloxi and New Orleans. It was time. Four days after the fact. "The results," he said of aid and rescue efforts, "were unacceptable."

The words, flat as fetid water, came too late. In this, one of the worst disasters to be visited upon the richest nation in the world, the president failed the test of leadership and could not, even after excoriating criticism started to mount in the media, show himself to be emotionally touched by the events before him. The New York Times had deemed Bush's Rose Garden speech "casual to the point of carelessness."

Howell Raines, ex of the Times, compared the "dilatory" performance of the president to that of the president's father. "George H.W. Bush couldn't quite connect to the victims of Hurricane Andrew, nor did he mind being photographed tooling his golf cart around Kennebunkport while American troops died in the first Iraq war," wrote Raines. "After pre-emptively declaring a state of emergency, the younger Bush seemed equally determined to show his successors how to vacation through an apocalypse."

The evocation of Joseph Conrad (who wrote "Heart of Darkness.") was fitting. As once-tranquil waterways delivered Conrad's "immense darkness," images of the Gulf Coast bore an eerie resemblance to lawlessness in Sierra Leone or Liberia. Almost as eerie are the premonitions, now being sifted like entrails, which forewarned of this very apocalypse.

A single spare fact, cited by Scientific American, makes the point: every 24 minutes, Louisiana loses an acre of land. The deterioration of the coastal wetlands, the patchwork efforts to maintain canals and pumping stations, the constant reallocation of water in the below-sea-level city, was a delicate balance sustainable only by the infusion of massive amounts of capital and the absence of any major disaster. Full-scale restoration was pegged at $14 billion (U.S.)

The capital did not come.

As desperately needed financial resources were denied — Congress approved $42.2 million, or less than half of what the Army Corps of Engineers sought for flood programs — scientists forewarned of storm surges in the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain should a high-level hurricane deliver its full force. In mid-July, Ivor van Heerden, director of the Center for the Study of the Public Health Impact of Hurricanes at Louisiana State, was quoted in U.S. News & World Report with this dire message. "If a hurricane comes next month, New Orleans could no longer exist." Even a Level 3 storm was deemed a high enough risk for breaching the levee walls. "You're talking about creating a refugee camp for a million homeless residents," said van Heerden.

When the worst did come, the attachment of blame, or what the first Bush president called "the blame game," predictably commenced. The assessed ineptitude of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, in charge of disaster response, has come in for widespread criticism, but that, too, leads back to Washington, as FEMA has been rolled into the Homeland Security Department, and has perhaps become emasculated, or at least disorganized, in the process.

Governor Blanco was inexplicably slow to invoke the activation of the executive order that allowed out-of-jurisdiction law enforcement officers to enter the disaster area. That order wasn't issued until Thursday, the same day President Bush laggardly requested $10.5 billion in emergency aid.

New Orleans Mayor Nagin blamed FEMA, the governor and Homeland Security for taking perilous decisions about the city's pumping stations.

The itemization of blunders and mishandlings is bound to continue.

The person destined to remain in the eye of the storm is Bush himself. Not since the release of the infamous photos of Abu Ghraib has the phrase "failure of leadership" had such currency. Those best positioned to assess that charge are the victims themselves. Some of those in the Big Easy may harken back to the days of Louisiana governor Huey Long, a demagogue and a corrupt demagogue at that, but one who championed the state's poor.

Bush now faces charges that the poor and disadvantaged were the most left behind in New Orleans. These are people the president would never call "my base" as he once did his well-heeled benefactors. It will not go unnoticed that the U.S. Senate is scheduled next week to consider a long-promised piece of Bush legislation, the elimination of the estate tax. As Hendrik Hertzberg notes in the current issue of The New Yorker, the tax relief will sift "some $1.5 billion a week — about the same as the Iraq war — from the public treasury to the bank accounts of the heirs to the nation's twenty thousand biggest fortunes."

By the end of the day yesterday, Bush, arisen from his torpor, had been given an eyeful. As proof of leadership it was too little, too late.

 

New Orleans' throbbing hearts: Nowhere else in U.S. have African Americans known more freedom, pain, oppression

By David Bruser



McCOMB, MISS.—First from the Ivory Coast as slaves, to Congo Square among the voodoo priestesses and beginnings of jazz, to the cheap, low-lying land now known as the Ninth Ward, African Americans in New Orleans have always been at war with oppression.

Oppression from the hand of slave owners — the French, the Spanish, the French again, then the Americans — from poverty and from the unique geography of the Crescent City. And now from Hurricane Katrina. Yet the highly complex, nuanced relations between the races in the city's early years, a dynamic unique to New Orleans and nowhere else, allowed blacks some room to flourish.

Nowhere else in the United States have they known more pain and more freedom.

This city, its streets now floating graveyards, is arguably the heart of black American culture. This is how Carroll Case sees it. Case, 65, who retreated from his New Orleans apartment to his home in southwest Mississippi, is a tour guide based in the French Quarter in one of only five cities in the country that require its guides to enrol in a city history course to become certified, he says.

What follows is his attempt to explain what Katrina threatens to rip away.

To a place with the same latitude as Cairo, the first slaves were shipped in pens like cattle to a plantation, an area now known as Algiers on the West Bank, directly across the Mississippi River from Canal Street.

"As many as 10,000 blacks came into New Orleans," Case says. "Those that were not suitable were either shipped back or beaten or killed. They were conquered, basically."

Between its founding in 1718 by two French Canadians, Jean Baptiste le Moyne, Sieur de Bienville, and his brother Iberville, and the American takeover in 1803 with the Louisiana Purchase, the settlement, chopped out of the swamp, was run by the French and Spanish.

Among this melting pot of French and Spanish landowners, gamblers, whores and European rejects, the slaves fought alongside everyone else for survival in "The Town That Care Forgot," a freewheeling, violent, hot and disease-ridden place where not many expected to live past 30.

"Diversity breeds violence. New Orleans from the very beginning has been extremely violent. The whites were terrified of the fact that the blacks may get together and massacre the whites," Case says.

"They passed laws that would not let any of the black people get together. If a slave owner let his slaves get together, if he was caught letting them, he was branded with the fleur-de-lis."

Yet, despite the societal rigidity, lust blurred the lines, spawning classes of mulattos, quadroons and octoroons.

"The blacks were more accepted there than anywhere else in America. They were so ingrained into the system," Case says.

There were also "free people of colour" in New Orleans, some of whom bought their freedom and some who even owned their own slaves.

But that acceptance, of course, had its limits, with blacks forced into the bottom of society and into Roman Catholic baptisms.

"Immediately, the culture and the whole system was strained from the beginning," Case says. "The blacks were immediately rebelling against their Catholic religion. They brought in voodoo, real strong ancestral worship, from Africa — the snake God Voodoun."

To what is now Louis Armstrong Park alongside the French Quarter, slaves would sneak off to secret voodoo meetings in Congo Square, sometimes right after leaving the Catholic Church.

Case calls it the most historic gathering place for blacks in New Orleans. Where the religion was nurtured behind a screen of banana and ginger plants.

Where they built fires, banged bones off stretched deer hides, danced the bamboula and calinda. White men were known to commit suicide when they heard a police raid found their wives fornicating with black men in Congo Square.

That sense of rebellion remained intact, even when the races grew further apart, with the well-heeled whites stealing away in the Garden District, with the French, Spanish and slaves in the French Quarter, leaving the "free people of colour," the skilled artisans, to settle what is now the Ninth Ward area in the early 1900s.

The land was cheap, presumably in part because the land was low. "Who would want it?' Case says.

President Franklin Roosevelt's New Deal administration built the Desire housing project there in the 1930s, but back then, "those were wonderful places to live. They didn't even lock their doors in the projects. It was just a community and everyone trusted each other."

But the fight for civil rights and the enduring poverty of the blacks living there fuelled an eruption.

"The heartbeat of the rebellion actually happened within a rock's throw of the Desire Project," Case says. "That's where Stokely Carmichael first used the term `Black Power.'

"The Ninth Ward has always been the nest of the underprivileged people. It's the soul of the city. It's the tenderloin district."

But it's also the heart of the city's gang wars and drug trade, Case says.


Those problems took a strong hold in the early 1960s.

"That turned the projects into a basic hellhole and they would literally take the dead people they shot during the gang wars, they would take them to other projects and leave the bodies. That created tensions between the different projects in the Ninth Ward."

Hurricane Betsy hit this neighbourhood in 1965 and then like now, it flooded the Ninth Ward — the lowest, poorest and blackest part of town.

There's speculation that officials dynamited levees near the projects to siphon water away from white neighbourhoods.

If New Orleans survives, so too should Mardi Gras and the hotbed of Zydeco music, and so too should black culture, which Case figures is one and the same as the city itself.

"I don't know of any place that is so interwoven with good and evil," he says.

"They will go back and try their best to make sure that culture never goes away. Their roots go deeper than anyone's roots."

-Both articles are from Saturday's Toronto Star

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